Language:English
Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Astros (Local)
Prediction 66.95%1.49fair odd
EV -0.908%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%66.96%66.97%68.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.431.4873.53%70.14%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)
Prediction 33.05%3.03fair odd
EV +2.44%
Edge +0.788%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%33.04%33.03%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.902.903.1037.04%34.53%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 66.95%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 33.05%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%EV +2.44%E +0.788%K +1.16%G +0.028% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 18:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -2.25%E -1.54%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -0.861%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.861%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.861%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.19%EV -2.25%E -1.54%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.81%EV -1.19%E -0.399%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 17:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%EV -1.19%E -0.399%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -1.85%E -0.624%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.59%EV -0.908%E -0.614%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.41%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV -2.84%E -0.967%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.32%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 16:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 18:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 16:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 15:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 16:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.15%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.15%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.58%E -1.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 15:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 15:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 15:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03% | 0.1% | 2026-08-05 18:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-08-05 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-05 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-05 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-05 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 18:00 |