Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-05 18:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 57.92%1.73fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.45%57.98%58.00%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.651.7064.10%61.00%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 42.08%2.38fair odd
EV +3.09%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +2.13%
Growth +0.066%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%42.02%42.00%43.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.282.4547.62%43.72%43.86%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Astros (Local): 57.92%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 42.08%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.40, producing a positive expected value of +0.989%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -3.27%E -1.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +0.989%E +0.412%K +0.707%G +0.007%1.5%2026-08-05 01:34
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -7.33%E -4.58%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.989%E +0.412%K +0.707%G +0.007%4.2%2026-08-04 22:50
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -7.33%E -4.58%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.989%E +0.412%K +0.707%G +0.007%4.2%2026-08-04 22:50
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.85%E -2.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV +0.569%E +0.238%K +0.409%G +0.002%2.1%2026-08-05 01:34
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.85%E -2.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV +0.148%E +0.062%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 01:35
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.06%E -5.77%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.148%E +0.062%K +0.107%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:49
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -9.06%E -5.77%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -0.273%E -0.115%K -0.199%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:49
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.85%E -2.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -0.694%E -0.294%K -0.510%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 01:40
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.11%E -1.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-05 01:35
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 00:24
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:30
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:30
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:29
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:30
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.69%E -1.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.96%E -0.840%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 01:40
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:30
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:30
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:30
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:30
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:35
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.75%E -4.19%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:30
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.53%E -0.902%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 00:55
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.27%E -1.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.22%E -1.40%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 00:35
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.22%E -1.40%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:40
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.01%E -3.05%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.22%E -1.40%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:04
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.53%E -0.902%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 01:10
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.01%E -3.05%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:10
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.33%E -4.58%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.33%E -4.58%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:30
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.01%E -3.05%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:09
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.59%E -3.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:34
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.59%E -3.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:35
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.27%E -1.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:35
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:05
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:10
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:05
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:09
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:04
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.01%E -3.05%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:35
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.64%E -6.18%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 01:29
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.74%E -2.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:30
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.27%E -1.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.58%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:35
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.27%E -1.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.27%E -1.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.27%E -1.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:10
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.27%E -1.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:09
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.85%E -2.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 23:35
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:33
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -3.85%E -2.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -7.85%E -3.58%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 23:33
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -5.59%E -3.43%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 00:14
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-08-05 01:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-05 00:30
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-05 01:00
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-05 01:40
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-08-05 01:40
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%8.0%2026-08-05 01:40
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.36%1xBet 1.70 (59.0%) / Hard Rock Bet 2.45 (41.0%)Show all 2 combinations
Houston Astros (Local)Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)Margin
1xBet 1.70 (59.0%)Hard Rock Bet 2.45 (41.0%)+0.361%