Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays

Początek: 2026-08-05 18:10 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Houston Astros 4–5 Toronto Blue Jays

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Houston Astros (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 66.95%1.49kurs godziwy
EV -0.908%
Przewaga -0.614%
Kelly -1.89%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.48

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.06%66.96%66.97%68.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.361.431.431.4873.53%70.14%69.93%67.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Toronto Blue Jays (Goście)

Prognoza 33.05%3.03kurs godziwy
EV +2.44%
Przewaga +0.788%
Kelly +1.16%
Wzrost +0.028%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.46%33.04%33.03%34.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.902.903.1037.04%34.53%34.48%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Houston Astros (Gospodarze): 66.95%; Toronto Blue Jays (Goście): 33.05%. Dla wyniku Toronto Blue Jays (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.03. 6 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.10, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.44%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%EV +2.44%E +0.788%K +1.16%G +0.028%1.2%2026-08-05 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.2%2026-08-05 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.2%2026-08-05 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.2%2026-08-05 18:04
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.2%2026-08-05 18:00
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%4.2%2026-08-05 17:55
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -2.25%E -1.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -0.861%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-05 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.861%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.861%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Caesars🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.19%EV -2.25%E -1.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.81%EV -1.19%E -0.399%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 17:59
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%EV -1.19%E -0.399%K -0.599%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -1.85%E -0.624%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.59%EV -0.908%E -0.614%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.41%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-05 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:50
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV -2.84%E -0.967%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.32%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:00
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 17:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 16:04
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 18:03
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 16:04
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 15:59
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 16:00
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:05
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 17:20
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.15%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 18:05
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.15%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.58%E -1.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 15:39
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 16:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 17:50
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 17:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 15:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 17:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03%0.1%2026-08-05 18:00
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-08-05 18:00
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-05 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-05 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-05 17:35
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%0.6%2026-08-05 18:05
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-05 16:05
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-05 16:20
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-08-05 18:00