默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays

开赛时间: 2026-08-05 18:10 UTC

最终结果: Houston Astros 4–5 Toronto Blue Jays

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Houston Astros (主队)

预测 66.95%1.49公平赔率
EV -0.908%
优势 -0.614%
Kelly -1.89%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.48

博彩公司预测分布
65.06%66.96%66.97%68.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.431.431.4873.53%70.14%69.93%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

Toronto Blue Jays (客队)

预测 33.05%3.03公平赔率
EV +2.44%
优势 +0.788%
Kelly +1.16%
增长率 +0.028%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
31.46%33.04%33.03%34.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.902.903.1037.04%34.53%34.48%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Houston Astros (主队):66.95%;Toronto Blue Jays (客队):33.05%。 对于“Toronto Blue Jays (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.03。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.10,对应+2.44%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%EV +2.44%E +0.788%K +1.16%G +0.028%1.2%2026-08-05 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.2%2026-08-05 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.2%2026-08-05 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.2%2026-08-05 18:04
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.2%2026-08-05 18:00
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%4.2%2026-08-05 17:55
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -2.25%E -1.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -0.861%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-05 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.861%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.861%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Caesars🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.19%EV -2.25%E -1.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.81%EV -1.19%E -0.399%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 17:59
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%EV -1.19%E -0.399%K -0.599%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -1.85%E -0.624%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.59%EV -0.908%E -0.614%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.41%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-05 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:50
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV -2.84%E -0.967%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.32%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:00
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 17:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 16:04
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 18:03
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 16:04
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 15:59
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 16:00
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:05
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 17:20
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.15%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 18:05
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.15%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.58%E -1.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 15:39
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 16:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 17:50
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 17:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 15:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 17:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03%0.1%2026-08-05 18:00
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-08-05 18:00
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-05 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-05 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-05 17:35
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%0.6%2026-08-05 18:05
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-05 16:05
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-05 16:20
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-08-05 18:00