Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-05 18:10 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 59.10%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -2.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.21%59.11%59.05%60.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.611.621.6664.10%61.97%61.73%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.90%2.45cote équitable
EV +1.01%
Avantage +0.411%
Kelly +0.690%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.61%40.89%40.95%41.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.342.352.4745.45%42.69%42.55%40.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Houston Astros (Local) : 59.10% ; Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur) : 40.90%. Pour Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.45. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.47, pour une espérance positive de +1.01%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV +1.01%E +0.411%K +0.690%G +0.007%2.2%2026-08-05 02:39
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV +1.01%E +0.411%K +0.690%G +0.007%2.2%2026-08-05 02:40
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV +0.197%E +0.080%K +0.136%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-05 01:40
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -0.621%E -0.256%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-05 02:19
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.66%E -2.25%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.621%E -0.256%K -0.434%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 02:10
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.85%E -0.770%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:50
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.85%E -0.770%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:50
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.26%E -0.944%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 01:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.07%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 02:20
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.07%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 02:19
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.07%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:49
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -3.48%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 01:40
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.48%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 02:14
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.48%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 02:20
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 00:24
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.25%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 01:55
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 02:19
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 02:40
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:30
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:30
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:29
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:30
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 02:19
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 02:19
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 02:19
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 02:25
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 02:24
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 02:24
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 02:40
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 02:25
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.30%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:24
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.71%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 02:20
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.71%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 02:40
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.71%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 02:24
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:30
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:30
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:30
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:30
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:35
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:55
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:30
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 02:25
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 02:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 02:39
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 02:19
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 02:18
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 02:16
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 02:19
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 02:19
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.76%E -2.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.76%E -2.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:30
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.66%E -2.25%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.16%E -3.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 02:20
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 02:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 01:29
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.03%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-05 02:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-08-05 02:40
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-05 01:55
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-05 02:40
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-08-05 02:25
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-05 01:55
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%8.7%2026-08-05 02:40