النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays

البداية: 2026-08-05 18:10 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Houston Astros 4–5 Toronto Blue Jays

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Houston Astros (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.95%1.49السعر العادل
EV -0.908%
الأفضلية -0.614%
Kelly -1.89%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.06%66.96%66.97%68.54%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.431.431.4873.53%70.14%69.93%67.57%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Toronto Blue Jays (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.05%3.03السعر العادل
EV +2.44%
الأفضلية +0.788%
Kelly +1.16%
النمو +0.028%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.46%33.04%33.03%34.94%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.902.903.1037.04%34.53%34.48%32.26%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Houston Astros (المضيف)⁩: ⁨66.95%⁩؛ ⁨Toronto Blue Jays (الضيف)⁩: ⁨33.05%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Toronto Blue Jays (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨3.03⁩. عرضت 6 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨3.10⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+2.44%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%EV +2.44%E +0.788%K +1.16%G +0.028%1.2%2026-08-05 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.2%2026-08-05 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.2%2026-08-05 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.2%2026-08-05 18:04
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.2%2026-08-05 18:00
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.791%E +0.259%K +0.386%G +0.003%4.2%2026-08-05 17:55
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -2.25%E -1.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -0.861%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-05 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.861%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.861%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Caesars🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.19%EV -2.25%E -1.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.81%EV -1.19%E -0.399%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 17:59
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%EV -1.19%E -0.399%K -0.599%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -1.85%E -0.624%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.59%EV -0.908%E -0.614%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.41%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-05 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:50
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:25
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV -2.84%E -0.967%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -3.84%E -1.32%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:00
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 17:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 16:04
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 18:03
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 16:04
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 15:59
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 16:00
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:05
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 17:20
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.15%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 18:05
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.15%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.58%E -1.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 15:39
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 16:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.94%E -6.58%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 17:50
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 17:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 15:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 17:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03%0.1%2026-08-05 18:00
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-08-05 18:00
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-05 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-05 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-05 17:35
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%0.6%2026-08-05 18:05
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-05 16:05
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-05 16:20
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-08-05 18:00