Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 45.02%2.22fair odd
EV -0.963%
Edge -0.438%
Kelly -0.802%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.44%45.07%45.07%45.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.2048.78%46.79%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 54.98%1.82fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.03%54.93%54.93%56.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.731.731.8059.17%57.72%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 45.02%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 54.98%. For Cleveland Guardians (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.963%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.963%E -0.438%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.08%E -4.19%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 21:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.41%E -0.645%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 20:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.31%E -1.07%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.03%E -0.572%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 13:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 08:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 12:43 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 17:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 13:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 17:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 21:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 12:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 21:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 12:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 18:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 21:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 21:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 12:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 19:03 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 21:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 16:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.91%E -2.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 12:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.36%E -3.06%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 21:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.72%E -3.76%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.72%E -3.76%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 21:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 21:13 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 21:13 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 21:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 14:24 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20% | 2.8% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |