A Escola das Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-04-04 23:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 45.02%2.22odd justa
EV -0.963%
Vantagem -0.438%
Kelly -0.802%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.44%45.07%45.07%45.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.142.152.2048.78%46.79%46.51%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 54.98%1.82odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.572%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.03%54.93%54.93%56.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.691.731.731.8059.17%57.72%57.80%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.963%E -0.438%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.08%E -4.19%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 21:19
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.41%E -0.645%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-04 17:59
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 20:49
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:35
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:00
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:34
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:00
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.31%E -1.07%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-04 21:04
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.03%E -0.572%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-04 13:04
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 21:04
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 21:04
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 21:24
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 08:24
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 12:43
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 21:25
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 11:59
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 17:44
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 13:09
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 13:10
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 13:00
BetAnything2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 12:44
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 17:48
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 21:24
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 21:15
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 12:50
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 21:24
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 21:24
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 21:24
MyBookie.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 21:14
SportsBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 12:59
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:58
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 21:25
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 12:49
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 19:03
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 13:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 21:24
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 16:33
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:54
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.91%E -2.83%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 12:59
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.36%E -3.06%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 21:09
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.72%E -3.76%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 20:49
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.72%E -3.76%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 21:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-04 21:13
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%1.0%2026-04-04 21:13
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-04 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-04-04 14:24
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-04-04 21:15
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.8%2026-04-04 21:24