StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-04 23:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cleveland Guardians (Heim)

Prognose 45.02%2.22faire Quote
EV -0.963%
Vorteil -0.438%
Kelly -0.802%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
43.44%45.07%45.07%45.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.142.152.2048.78%46.79%46.51%45.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)

Prognose 54.98%1.82faire Quote
EV -1.03%
Vorteil -0.572%
Kelly -1.29%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.03%54.93%54.93%56.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.691.731.731.8059.17%57.72%57.80%55.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Cleveland Guardians (Heim): 45.02%; Chicago Cubs (Auswärts): 54.98%. Für Cleveland Guardians (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.22. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.20, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.963%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.963%E -0.438%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.08%E -4.19%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 21:19
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.41%E -0.645%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-04 17:59
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 20:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:35
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:00
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:34
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:00
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.31%E -1.07%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-04 21:04
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.03%E -0.572%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-04 13:04
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 21:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 21:04
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 21:24
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 08:24
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 12:43
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 11:59
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 17:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 13:09
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:10
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 13:10
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 13:00
BetAnything🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 12:44
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 17:48
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 21:24
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 21:15
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 12:50
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 21:24
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 21:24
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 21:24
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 21:14
SportsBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 12:59
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:58
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 21:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 12:49
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 19:03
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 13:39
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 21:24
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 16:33
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.91%E -2.83%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 12:59
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.36%E -3.06%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 21:09
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.72%E -3.76%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 20:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.72%E -3.76%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 21:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-04 21:13
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%1.0%2026-04-04 21:13
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-04 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-04-04 14:24
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-04-04 21:15
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.8%2026-04-04 21:24