L’École des cotes

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 23:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 45.02%2.22cote équitable
EV -0.963%
Avantage -0.438%
Kelly -0.802%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.44%45.07%45.07%45.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.142.152.2048.78%46.79%46.51%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.98%1.82cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.572%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.03%54.93%54.93%56.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.691.731.731.8059.17%57.72%57.80%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.963%E -0.438%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.08%E -4.19%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 21:19
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.41%E -0.645%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-04 17:59
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 20:49
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:35
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:00
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:34
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:00
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.31%E -1.07%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-04 21:04
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.03%E -0.572%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-04 13:04
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 21:04
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 21:04
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 21:24
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 08:24
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 12:43
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 21:25
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 11:59
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 17:44
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 13:09
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 13:10
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 13:00
BetAnything2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 12:44
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 17:48
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 21:24
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 21:15
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 12:50
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 21:24
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 21:24
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 21:24
MyBookie.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 21:14
SportsBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 12:59
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:58
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 21:25
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 12:49
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 19:03
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 13:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 21:24
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 16:33
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:54
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.91%E -2.83%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 12:59
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.36%E -3.06%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 21:09
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.72%E -3.76%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 20:49
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.72%E -3.76%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 21:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-04 21:13
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%1.0%2026-04-04 21:13
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-04 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-04-04 14:24
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-04-04 21:15
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.8%2026-04-04 21:24