La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 45.02%2.22momio equitativo
EV -0.963%
Ventaja -0.438%
Kelly -0.802%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.44%45.07%45.07%45.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.142.152.2048.78%46.79%46.51%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 54.98%1.82momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.572%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.03%54.93%54.93%56.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.691.731.731.8059.17%57.72%57.80%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.963%E -0.438%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.08%E -4.19%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 21:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.41%E -0.645%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| BetUS | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 20:35 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| GTbets | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.31%E -1.07%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.03%E -0.572%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 13:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 08:24 |
| Caesars | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 12:43 |
| ReBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 17:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 13:10 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 13:10 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 13:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 13:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |
| Bovada | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 17:48 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 21:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 12:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 21:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 12:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 18:58 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 21:25 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 21:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 12:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 19:03 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 21:15 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 16:33 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.91%E -2.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 12:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.36%E -3.06%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 21:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.72%E -3.76%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.72%E -3.76%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 21:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 21:13 |
| ProphetX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 21:13 |
| Polymarket | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 21:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 14:24 |
| BetOpenly | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 21:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20% | 2.8% | 2026-04-04 21:24 |