La scuola delle quote

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs

Inizio: 2026-04-04 23:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Casa)

Previsione 45.02%2.22quota equa
EV -0.963%
Vantaggio -0.438%
Kelly -0.802%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.44%45.07%45.07%45.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.142.152.2048.78%46.79%46.51%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.98%1.82quota equa
EV -1.03%
Vantaggio -0.572%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.03%54.93%54.93%56.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.691.731.731.8059.17%57.72%57.80%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.963%E -0.438%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.08%E -4.19%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 21:19
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.41%E -0.645%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-04 17:59
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 20:49
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:35
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:00
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:34
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.86%E -0.855%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:00
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.31%E -1.07%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-04 21:04
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.03%E -0.572%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-04 13:04
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:49
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 21:04
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 21:04
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 21:24
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 08:24
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 12:43
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 21:25
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 11:59
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 17:44
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 13:09
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.21%E -1.49%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 13:10
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 13:00
BetAnything2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 12:44
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.66%E -1.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 17:48
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 21:24
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 21:15
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 12:50
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 21:24
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 21:24
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.56%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 21:24
MyBookie.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 21:14
SportsBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.01%E -2.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 12:59
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:58
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 21:25
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 12:49
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 19:03
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 21:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 13:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 21:24
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 16:33
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.46%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:54
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.91%E -2.83%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 12:59
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.36%E -3.06%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 21:09
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.72%E -3.76%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 20:49
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.72%E -3.76%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 21:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-04 21:13
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%1.0%2026-04-04 21:13
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-04 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-04-04 21:25
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-04-04 14:24
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-04-04 21:15
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.8%2026-04-04 21:24