The School of Odds

Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-07 23:10 — MLB

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Option 1: Cincinnati Reds (Local)

2.3542.55%Min
2.4441.01%Mean
2.4440.98%Median
2.6038.46%Max
36.12%2.769Min
40.00%2.500Max
39.07%2.559Mean
39.16%2.553Median
39.22%2.550IQM
39.08%2.559Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.60 under the IQM model: 39.22%

EV +1.98%Edge +0.760%Kelly +1.24%Growth +0.024%

Option 2: Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

1.4768.03%Min
1.5763.71%Mean
1.5763.69%Median
1.6261.73%Max
60.00%1.667Min
63.88%1.565Max
60.93%1.641Mean
60.84%1.644Median
60.78%1.645IQM
60.92%1.642Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.62 under the IQM model: 60.78%

EV -1.54%Edge -0.950%Kelly -2.48%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

BookmakerCincinnati Reds (Local) ▼Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46% NM 36.12%EV +1.98% E +0.760% K +1.24% G +0.024%1.47I 68.03% NM 63.88%EV -10.66% E -7.25% K -22.67% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 08:10
Fliff2.55I 39.22% NM 37.50%EV +0.016% E +0.006% K +0.010% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 62.50%EV -7.01% E -4.58% K -13.23% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 15:29
Everygame2.53I 39.53% NM 38.74%EV -0.769% E -0.304% K -0.502% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 61.26%EV -2.75% E -1.72% K -4.59% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 15:10
LowVig.ag2.51I 39.84% NM 38.93%EV -1.55% E -0.619% K -1.03% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 61.07%EV -2.75% E -1.72% K -4.59% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 16:25
BetOnline.ag2.51I 39.84% NM 38.93%EV -1.55% E -0.619% K -1.03% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 61.07%EV -2.75% E -1.72% K -4.59% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 16:24
GTbets2.51I 39.84% NM 38.93%EV -1.55% E -0.619% K -1.03% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 61.07%EV -2.75% E -1.72% K -4.59% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 17:40
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00% NM 39.17%EV -1.95% E -0.778% K -1.30% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 60.83%EV -2.15% E -1.33% K -3.52% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 17:35
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00% NM 38.57%EV -1.95% E -0.778% K -1.30% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 61.43%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 07:45
BetUS2.49I 40.16% NM 39.12%EV -2.34% E -0.939% K -1.57% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 60.88%EV -2.75% E -1.72% K -4.59% G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 15:24
1xBet2.48I 40.32% NM 39.51%EV -2.73% E -1.10% K -1.84% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 60.49%EV -1.54% E -0.950% K -2.48% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 13:14
BetAnything2.48I 40.32% NM 39.36%EV -2.73% E -1.10% K -1.84% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 60.64%EV -2.15% E -1.33% K -3.52% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 16:25
FanDuel2.46I 40.65% NM 38.96%EV -3.51% E -1.43% K -2.41% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 61.04%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:40
ReBet2.45I 40.82% NM 39.36%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 60.64%EV -3.36% E -2.11% K -5.70% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 17:14
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 15:05
Fanatics2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 12:30
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 15:05
Neds2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 12:20
BetMGM2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 12:19
Coral2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 12:13
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 12:19
Betway2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 13:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 11:50
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 16:45
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 16:40
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 16:45
SportsBet2.45I 40.82% NM 38.90%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 61.10%EV -5.19% E -3.32% K -9.26% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 12:39
888sport2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -7.01% E -4.58% K -13.23% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -7.01% E -4.58% K -13.23% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 13:54
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -3.91% E -1.59% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -7.01% E -4.58% K -13.23% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 13:55
MyBookie.ag2.44I 40.98% NM 39.45%EV -4.30% E -1.76% K -2.99% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 60.55%EV -3.36% E -2.11% K -5.70% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 16:43
DraftKings2.44I 40.98% NM 39.15%EV -4.30% E -1.76% K -2.99% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.85%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 12:19
Caesars2.43I 41.15% NM 39.55%EV -4.69% E -1.93% K -3.28% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 60.45%EV -3.36% E -2.11% K -5.70% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 15:45
Bovada2.43I 41.15% NM 39.25%EV -4.69% E -1.93% K -3.28% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.75%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 17:29
Casumo2.43I 41.15% NM 39.25%EV -4.69% E -1.93% K -3.28% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.75%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 16:44
Unibet2.43I 41.15% NM 39.25%EV -4.69% E -1.93% K -3.28% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.75%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15% NM 39.25%EV -4.69% E -1.93% K -3.28% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.75%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 16:40
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15% NM 39.25%EV -4.69% E -1.93% K -3.28% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.75%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 16:44
betPARX2.43I 41.15% NM 39.25%EV -4.69% E -1.93% K -3.28% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.75%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 16:45
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15% NM 39.25%EV -4.69% E -1.93% K -3.28% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.75%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 16:45
Bet Right2.42I 41.32% NM 39.35%EV -5.08% E -2.10% K -3.58% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.65%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 13:55
Coolbet2.42I 41.32% NM 39.35%EV -5.08% E -2.10% K -3.58% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.65%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 13:54
TAB2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -2.75% E -1.72% K -4.59% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 10:29
PlayUp2.40I 41.67% NM 39.70%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 60.30%EV -3.97% E -2.51% K -6.85% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 11:15
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 13:14
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:19
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 13:10
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 16:15
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 13:15
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 17:09
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 17:10
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67% NM 39.39%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 60.61%EV -5.19% E -3.32% K -9.26% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 17:14
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67% NM 39.39%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 60.61%EV -5.19% E -3.32% K -9.26% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 12:19
BetRivers2.40I 41.67% NM 39.39%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 60.61%EV -5.19% E -3.32% K -9.26% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 17:10
TABtouch2.40I 41.67% NM 39.39%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 60.61%EV -5.19% E -3.32% K -9.26% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 17:10
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67% NM 39.24%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 60.76%EV -5.79% E -3.74% K -10.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 16:19
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67% NM 39.24%EV -5.87% E -2.44% K -4.19% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 60.76%EV -5.79% E -3.74% K -10.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 16:55
Betclic (FR)2.39I 41.84% NM 39.49%EV -6.26% E -2.62% K -4.50% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 60.51%EV -5.19% E -3.32% K -9.26% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 13:14
William Hill2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -6.65% E -2.79% K -4.82% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -4.58% E -2.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 03:30
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02% NM 39.29%EV -6.65% E -2.79% K -4.82% G +0.000%1.54I 64.94% NM 60.71%EV -6.40% E -4.16% K -11.85% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 16:45
NordicBet2.37I 42.19% NM 40.00%EV -7.04% E -2.97% K -5.14% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 60.00%EV -3.97% E -2.51% K -6.85% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 17:39
Betsson2.37I 42.19% NM 40.00%EV -7.04% E -2.97% K -5.14% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 60.00%EV -3.97% E -2.51% K -6.85% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 17:35
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -7.83% E -3.33% K -5.80% G +0.000%1.54I 64.94% NM 60.41%EV -6.40% E -4.16% K -11.85% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 13:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerCincinnati Reds (Local)Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.54I 39.37% NM 39.38%1.65I 60.61% NM 60.62%-0.0%2026-07-07 17:40
BetOpenly2.56I 39.06% NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98% NM 60.95%0.0%2026-07-07 17:35
Matchbook2.54I 39.37% NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98% NM 60.77%0.3%2026-07-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37% NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98% NM 60.77%0.3%2026-07-07 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37% NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98% NM 60.77%0.3%2026-07-07 17:35
Novig2.56I 39.06% NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35% NM 61.10%0.4%2026-07-07 12:40
ProphetX2.56I 39.06% NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35% NM 61.10%0.4%2026-07-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68% NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98% NM 60.58%0.7%2026-07-07 17:10
Kalshi2.56I 39.06% NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11% NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-07 16:50
Smarkets2.50I 40.00% NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73% NM 60.68%1.7%2026-07-07 17:10