Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 39.86%2.51fair odd
EV +3.64%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +2.28%
Growth +0.083%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.12%39.77%39.85%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.402.6044.44%41.64%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 60.14%1.66fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%60.23%60.15%63.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.591.591.6468.03%63.03%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 39.86%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 60.14%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.64%E +1.40%K +2.28%G +0.083% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.60%E -7.89%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-07 08:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.343%E -0.137%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.39%E -4.80%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-07 22:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.14%E -0.460%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.54%E -0.623%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.54%E -0.623%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-07 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.38%E -0.839%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.38%E -0.839%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.53%E -1.46%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-07 22:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 21:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 10:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -4.73%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 03:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.52%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-07 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.52%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-07 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.92%E -2.51%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.32%E -3.62%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.32%E -3.62%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.19%E -3.97%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.31%E -4.58%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.47% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.53% | 0.1% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.8% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.