StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-07 23:10 UTC

Endstand: Cincinnati Reds 1–4 Philadelphia Phillies

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cincinnati Reds (Heim)

Prognose 39.86%2.51faire Quote
EV +3.64%
Vorteil +1.40%
Kelly +2.28%
Wachstum +0.083%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.12%39.77%39.85%41.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.402.402.6044.44%41.64%41.67%38.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Auswärts)

Prognose 60.14%1.66faire Quote
EV -1.38%
Vorteil -0.839%
Kelly -2.15%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.64

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.44%60.23%60.15%63.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.471.591.591.6468.03%63.03%62.89%60.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Cincinnati Reds (Heim): 39.86%; Philadelphia Phillies (Auswärts): 60.14%. Für Cincinnati Reds (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.51. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.60 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.64%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.64%E +1.40%K +2.28%G +0.083%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.60%E -7.89%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 08:10
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.343%E -0.137%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.39%E -4.80%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 22:09
GTbets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.14%E -0.460%K -0.770%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.54%E -0.623%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.54%E -0.623%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 23:00
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-07 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-07 22:50
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 15:05
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.38%E -0.839%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 23:05
BetAnything🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 23:05
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.38%E -0.839%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 22:50
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 15:45
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.53%E -1.46%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 22:29
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 21:10
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 10:29
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:00
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:00
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 19:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 19:50
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 19:50
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 23:00
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 20:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 22:50
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 19:50
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -4.73%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 19:50
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 23:00
SportsBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 23:00
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 03:30
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.52%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 18:30
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.52%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.92%E -2.51%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:45
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:10
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 19:50
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 22:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.32%E -3.62%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.32%E -3.62%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.19%E -3.97%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 23:05
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.31%E -4.58%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 22:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-07-07 23:05
Polymarket2.53I 39.53%NM 39.47%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.53%0.1%2026-07-07 23:05
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-07 23:05
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-07 22:35
BetOpenly2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-07-07 22:59
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.8%2026-07-07 23:05