Langue:Français
Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prévision 39.86%2.51cote équitable
EV +3.64%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +2.28%
Croissance +0.083%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.12%39.77%39.85%41.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.402.402.6044.44%41.64%41.67%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.14%1.66cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.839%
Kelly -2.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%60.23%60.15%63.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.591.591.6468.03%63.03%62.89%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cincinnati Reds (Local) : 39.86% ; Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur) : 60.14%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.51. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.60, soit une espérance positive de +3.64%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.64%E +1.40%K +2.28%G +0.083% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.60%E -7.89%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-07 08:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.343%E -0.137%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.39%E -4.80%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-07 22:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.14%E -0.460%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.54%E -0.623%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.54%E -0.623%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-07 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.38%E -0.839%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.38%E -0.839%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.53%E -1.46%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-07 22:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 21:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 10:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -4.73%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 03:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.52%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-07 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.52%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-07 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.92%E -2.51%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.32%E -3.62%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.32%E -3.62%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.19%E -3.97%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.31%E -4.58%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.47% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.53% | 0.1% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.8% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |