مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-07-07 23:10 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cincinnati Reds 1–4 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.86%2.51السعر العادل
EV +3.64%
الأفضلية +1.40%
Kelly +2.28%
النمو +0.083%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.12%39.77%39.85%41.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.402.402.6044.44%41.64%41.67%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 60.14%1.66السعر العادل
EV -1.38%
الأفضلية -0.839%
Kelly -2.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.44%60.23%60.15%63.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.591.591.6468.03%63.03%62.89%60.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.64%E +1.40%K +2.28%G +0.083%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.60%E -7.89%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 08:10
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.343%E -0.137%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.39%E -4.80%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 22:09
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.14%E -0.460%K -0.770%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 23:00
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.54%E -0.623%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 22:59
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.54%E -0.623%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 23:00
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-07 22:55
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-07 22:50
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 23:00
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 15:05
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.38%E -0.839%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 23:05
BetAnything2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 23:05
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.38%E -0.839%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 22:50
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 22:50
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 22:50
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 15:45
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.53%E -1.46%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 22:29
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 23:05
MyBookie.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 21:10
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 10:29
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:00
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 22:45
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:00
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 18:30
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 19:50
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 19:50
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 19:50
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 23:00
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 20:49
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 22:50
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 22:50
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 19:50
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 19:50
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 19:50
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:50
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 18:40
DraftKings2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -4.73%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 19:50
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 23:00
SportsBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 23:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 03:30
NordicBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.52%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 18:30
Betsson2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.52%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 18:30
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.92%E -2.51%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:45
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:10
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 23:05
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 23:04
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 23:04
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 19:50
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 22:50
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.32%E -3.62%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 22:59
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.32%E -3.62%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.19%E -3.97%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 23:05
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.31%E -4.58%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 22:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-07-07 23:05
Polymarket2.53I 39.53%NM 39.47%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.53%0.1%2026-07-07 23:05
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-07 23:05
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-07 22:35
BetOpenly2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-07-07 22:59
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.8%2026-07-07 23:05