La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Predicción 39.86%2.51momio equitativo
EV +3.64%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +2.28%
Crecimiento +0.083%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.12%39.77%39.85%41.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.402.402.6044.44%41.64%41.67%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)
Predicción 60.14%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.839%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%60.23%60.15%63.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.591.591.6468.03%63.03%62.89%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.64%E +1.40%K +2.28%G +0.083% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.60%E -7.89%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-07 08:10 |
| Fliff | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.343%E -0.137%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.39%E -4.80%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-07 22:09 |
| GTbets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.14%E -0.460%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.54%E -0.623%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.54%E -0.623%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.34%E -0.953%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-07 15:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.38%E -0.839%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.38%E -0.839%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Caesars | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 15:45 |
| BetUS | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.53%E -1.46%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-07 22:29 |
| ReBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 21:10 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 10:29 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 22:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 18:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Bally Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 18:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -4.73%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.58%E -1.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.18%E -1.97%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 03:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.52%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-07 18:30 |
| Betsson | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.52%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-07 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.92%E -2.51%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 22:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.38%E -2.76%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 19:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.32%E -2.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.32%E -3.62%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.58%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.32%E -3.62%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.19%E -3.97%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.31%E -4.58%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.47% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.53% | 0.1% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| Novig | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| BetOpenly | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.8% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |