The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Chicago Cubs v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-06 18:21 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 47.71%2.10fair odd
EV +0.193%
Edge +0.092%
Kelly +0.175%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.57%47.88%48.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.001.982.1052.36%50.08%50.51%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 52.29%1.91fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.44%52.43%52.12%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.831.8857.14%54.90%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Cubs (Local): 47.71%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 52.29%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.096. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.100, producing a positive expected value of +0.193%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.193%E +0.092%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:38
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.193%E +0.092%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.284%E -0.136%K -0.261%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.284%E -0.136%K -0.261%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 00:40
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.284%E -0.136%K -0.261%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 00:40
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -0.762%E -0.366%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -6.40%E -3.58%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 23:35
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.24%E -0.598%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.74%E -1.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 19:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.19%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.22%E -1.19%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.19%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:40
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.19%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:40
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.19%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.19%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:40
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -2.19%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.97%E -4.53%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.19%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.49%E -4.85%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 23:35
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.15%E -1.55%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.70%E -0.902%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 22:05
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.83%E -2.66%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.36%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:35
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -5.06%E -2.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.79%E -2.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.53%E -2.79%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.53%E -2.79%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.53%E -2.79%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:55
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.53%E -2.79%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.53%E -2.79%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.53%E -2.79%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.53%E -2.79%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.83%E -2.66%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.01%E -3.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.36%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 20:00
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:25
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.49%E -3.31%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:25
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 21:45
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 23:25
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.31%E -2.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.83%E -2.66%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.83%E -2.66%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 23:25
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 20:00
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.92%E -4.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.93%E -3.89%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 00:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.40%E -4.37%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -6.93%E -3.89%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -8.87%E -4.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -6.93%E -3.89%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-05 21:45
Novig◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-08-06 00:55
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%3.8%2026-08-06 00:45
ProphetX◎1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%4.8%2026-08-06 00:55
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%10.1%2026-08-05 20:00