Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-06 18:21 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 47.76%2.09cote équitable
EV +0.300%
Avantage +0.143%
Kelly +0.273%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.05%47.59%47.78%48.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.922.012.002.1052.08%49.78%49.88%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.24%1.91cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.953%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.59%52.41%52.22%53.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.811.821.8858.14%55.16%54.95%53.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 47.76% ; Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur) : 52.24%. Pour Chicago Cubs (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.09. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.10, pour une espérance positive de +0.300%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.300%E +0.143%K +0.273%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.178%E -0.085%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.178%E -0.085%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 00:40
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.178%E -0.085%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 00:40
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -0.655%E -0.315%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 23:35
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.61%E -0.782%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 01:05
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:00
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -8.06%E -4.58%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.58%E -4.90%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 23:35
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.04%E -1.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:30
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:40
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.02%E -3.94%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.54%E -4.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.54%E -4.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 01:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.00%E -1.99%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.36%E -1.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 19:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 20:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:00
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.45%E -3.01%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:35
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.95%E -2.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 20:00
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.36%E -1.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:55
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.45%E -3.01%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -10.15%E -5.90%K -14.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 01:30
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:25
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 20:00
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.02%E -3.94%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 00:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.02%E -3.94%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 20:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-05 21:45
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-08-06 01:00
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%3.2%2026-08-06 01:05
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%3.8%2026-08-06 00:45
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%10.1%2026-08-05 20:00