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Chicago Cubs v Toronto Blue Jays
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Chicago Cubs (Хозяева)
Прогноз 50.14%1.99справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.217%
Преимущество -0.109%
Kelly -0.219%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.99
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.95%50.22%50.00%51.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.771.901.901.9956.50%52.76%52.49%50.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Toronto Blue Jays (Гости)
Прогноз 49.86%2.01справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.285%
Преимущество -0.142%
Kelly -0.285%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.23%49.78%50.00%51.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.31%52.36%50.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Chicago Cubs (Хозяева): 50.14%; Toronto Blue Jays (Гости): 49.86%. Для исхода «Chicago Cubs (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.994. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 1.990, математическое ожидание — -0.217%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.217%E -0.109%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -0.718%E -0.363%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.28%E -1.69%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -0.718%E -0.363%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 13:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.878%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.28%E -1.16%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.72%E -0.878%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.28%E -1.69%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.22%E -1.14%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.22%E -1.14%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.22%E -1.14%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.22%E -1.14%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.22%E -1.14%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.72%E -1.40%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.23%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.28%E -0.647%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.23%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.28%E -0.647%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.23%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.23%E -1.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.73%E -1.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.73%E -1.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.73%E -1.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.73%E -1.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.73%E -1.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.28%E -1.16%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.23%E -2.21%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.49%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.49%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.49%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.73%E -2.49%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -4.73%E -2.49%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.76%E -4.79%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -5.73%E -3.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -0.285%E -0.142%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.73%E -3.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 18:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.73%E -3.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.73%E -3.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.73%E -3.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.23%E -3.33%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.23%E -3.33%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.23%E -3.33%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.23%E -3.33%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.23%E -3.33%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.23%E -3.33%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.23%E -3.33%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.23%E -3.33%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.23%E -3.33%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.24%E -3.91%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.24%E -3.91%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.91%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 18:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.91%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.91%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.24%E -4.50%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.24%E -4.50%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -8.74%E -4.80%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.24%E -5.11%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.24%E -5.11%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -3.77%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -11.25%E -6.35%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.51%EV -11.25%E -6.35%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.49%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.8% | 2026-08-06 18:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 18:15 |