Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chicago Cubs v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-06 18:21 UTC — MLB

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 47.76%2.09quota equa
EV +0.300%
Vantaggio +0.143%
Kelly +0.273%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.05%47.59%47.78%48.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.922.012.002.1052.08%49.78%49.88%47.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.24%1.91quota equa
EV -1.79%
Vantaggio -0.953%
Kelly -2.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.59%52.41%52.22%53.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.811.821.8858.14%55.16%54.95%53.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Chicago Cubs (Casa): 47.76%; Toronto Blue Jays (Trasferta): 52.24%. Per Chicago Cubs (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.09. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 2.10, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.300%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.300%E +0.143%K +0.273%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.178%E -0.085%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.178%E -0.085%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 00:40
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.178%E -0.085%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 00:40
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -0.655%E -0.315%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 23:35
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.61%E -0.782%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 01:05
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:00
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -8.06%E -4.58%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.58%E -4.90%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 23:35
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.04%E -1.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:30
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:40
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.02%E -3.94%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.54%E -4.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.54%E -4.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 01:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.00%E -1.99%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.36%E -1.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 19:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 20:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:00
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.45%E -3.01%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:35
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.95%E -2.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 20:00
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.36%E -1.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:55
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.45%E -3.01%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -10.15%E -5.90%K -14.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 01:30
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:25
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 20:00
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.02%E -3.94%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 00:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.02%E -3.94%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 20:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-05 21:45
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-08-06 01:00
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%3.2%2026-08-06 01:05
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%3.8%2026-08-06 00:45
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%10.1%2026-08-05 20:00