StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-06 18:21 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 47.76%2.09faire Quote
EV +0.300%
Vorteil +0.143%
Kelly +0.273%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.05%47.59%47.78%48.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.922.012.002.1052.08%49.78%49.88%47.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Auswärts)

Prognose 52.24%1.91faire Quote
EV -1.79%
Vorteil -0.953%
Kelly -2.04%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.59%52.41%52.22%53.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.721.811.821.8858.14%55.16%54.95%53.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Chicago Cubs (Heim): 47.76%; Toronto Blue Jays (Auswärts): 52.24%. Für Chicago Cubs (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.09. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.10 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +0.300%.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.300%E +0.143%K +0.273%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.178%E -0.085%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.178%E -0.085%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 00:40
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.178%E -0.085%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 00:40
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -0.655%E -0.315%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 23:35
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.61%E -0.782%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 01:05
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:00
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -8.06%E -4.58%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.58%E -4.90%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 23:35
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.04%E -1.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:30
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:40
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.49%E -3.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.02%E -3.94%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.54%E -4.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.54%E -4.26%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 01:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.00%E -1.99%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.36%E -1.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 19:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 20:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:00
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.45%E -3.01%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:35
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.95%E -2.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 20:00
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.36%E -1.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:55
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.45%E -3.01%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -10.15%E -5.90%K -14.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 01:30
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:25
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 20:00
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.02%E -3.94%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 00:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.02%E -3.94%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 20:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-05 21:45
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-08-06 01:00
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%3.2%2026-08-06 01:05
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%3.8%2026-08-06 00:45
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%10.1%2026-08-05 20:00