Language:English
Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 60.09%1.66fair odd
EV -0.851%
Edge -0.516%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%60.01%59.93%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.83%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 39.91%2.51fair odd
EV +0.971%
Edge +0.384%
Kelly +0.635%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%39.99%40.07%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.5345.45%42.33%42.55%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 60.09%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 39.91%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.971%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV +0.971%E +0.384%K +0.635%G +0.006% | 2.8% | 2026-09-13 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +0.572%E +0.227%K +0.376%G +0.002% | 2.2% | 2026-09-13 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.173%E +0.069%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-13 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.173%E +0.069%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-13 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.226%E -0.090%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-13 18:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.02%E -0.413%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-13 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 18:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.851%E -0.516%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.82%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 17:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 16:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.61%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -7.01%E -3.01%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -7.01%E -3.01%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 18:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -8.61%E -3.76%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29% | -0.2% | 2026-09-13 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 1.8% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-09-13 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 18:20 |