StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

Matchstart: 2026-09-13 18:21 UTC

Slutresultat: Chicago Cubs 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

60%

40%

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Chicago Cubs (Hemma)

Prognos 60.09%1.66rättvist odds

EV -0.851%

Fördel -0.516%

Kelly -1.31%

Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser

58.44%60.01%59.93%61.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oddsfördelning

1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.83%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Borta)

Prognos 39.91%2.51rättvist odds

EV +0.971%

Fördel +0.384%

Kelly +0.635%

Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.53

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser

38.44%39.99%40.07%41.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oddsfördelning

2.202.362.352.5345.45%42.33%42.55%39.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Chicago Cubs (Hemma): 60.09%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Borta): 39.91%. För Pittsburgh Pirates (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.51. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.53, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.971%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

Spelbolag	Hemma	Borta ▼	Marginal	Uppdaterat
BetUS🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV +0.971%E +0.384%K +0.635%G +0.006%	2.8%	2026-09-13 18:15
GTbets🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +0.572%E +0.227%K +0.376%G +0.002%	2.2%	2026-09-13 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.173%E +0.069%K +0.114%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-13 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.173%E +0.069%K +0.114%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-13 18:15
Pinnacle🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.226%E -0.090%K -0.151%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-13 18:15
Caesars🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.02%E -0.413%K -0.692%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-13 17:20
BetAnything🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-09-13 17:05
Fanatics🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 18:10
BetMGM🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 18:19
Coral🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 18:20
DraftKings🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.82%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-13 18:20
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 18:14
1xBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.851%E -0.516%K -1.31%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.82%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-13 16:25
ReBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-13 17:01
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-13 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-13 17:20
TAB🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 18:00
Fliff🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-13 18:20
betfred_uk🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-13 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-13 16:30
Bet Right🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 18:10
William Hill🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-13 17:05
Betsson🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-13 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 18:20
888sport🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 17:40
PlayUp🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 17:50
Neds🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 18:19
Coolbet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-13 18:09
FanDuel🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.61%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -7.01%E -3.01%K -5.27%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -7.01%E -3.01%K -5.27%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 17:25
Casumo🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 17:25
Bally Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 17:25
Unibet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 17:35
TABtouch🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-13 17:35
Betway🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-13 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 18:20
Paddy Power🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-13 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-13 18:09
betano_uk🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-13 18:10
NordicBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -8.61%E -3.76%K -6.67%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-13 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 18:20
betPARX🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 17:25
SportsBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-13 18:20
Bet Victor🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-13 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-13 18:20
Grosvenor🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-13 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-13 18:20
BetRivers🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.94%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-13 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-09-13 18:20

Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (10)

Spelbolag	Hemma	Borta	Marginal ▲	Uppdaterat
BetOpenly◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%	2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%	-0.2%	2026-09-13 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	0.4%	2026-09-13 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%	2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%	0.7%	2026-09-13 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%	2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%	0.7%	2026-09-13 18:20
Kalshi◎	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%	1.0%	2026-09-13 16:50
Polymarket◎	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%	1.0%	2026-09-13 17:01
Matchbook◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%	1.8%	2026-09-13 18:20
Smarkets◎	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%	2.5%	2026-09-13 18:15
ProphetX◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%	3.7%	2026-09-13 18:20
Novig◎	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%	9.3%	2026-09-13 18:20