默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

开赛时间： 2026-09-13 18:21 UTC

最终结果： Chicago Cubs 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

60%

40%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs (主队)

预测 60.09%1.66公平赔率

EV -0.851%

优势 -0.516%

Kelly -1.31%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布

58.44%60.01%59.93%61.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.83%62.50%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)

预测 39.91%2.51公平赔率

EV +0.971%

优势 +0.384%

Kelly +0.635%

增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 2.53

博彩公司预测分布

38.44%39.99%40.07%41.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.202.362.352.5345.45%42.33%42.55%39.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chicago Cubs (主队)：60.09%；Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)：39.91%。对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.51。当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.53，对应+0.971%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
BetUS🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV +0.971%E +0.384%K +0.635%G +0.006%	2.8%	2026-09-13 18:15
GTbets🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +0.572%E +0.227%K +0.376%G +0.002%	2.2%	2026-09-13 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.173%E +0.069%K +0.114%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-13 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.173%E +0.069%K +0.114%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-13 18:15
Pinnacle🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.226%E -0.090%K -0.151%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-13 18:15
Caesars🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.02%E -0.413%K -0.692%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-13 17:20
BetAnything🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-09-13 17:05
Fanatics🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 18:10
BetMGM🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 18:19
Coral🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 18:20
DraftKings🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.82%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-13 18:20
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 18:14
1xBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.851%E -0.516%K -1.31%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.82%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-13 16:25
ReBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-13 17:01
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-13 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-13 17:20
TAB🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 18:00
Fliff🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-13 18:20
betfred_uk🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-13 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-13 16:30
Bet Right🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 18:10
William Hill🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-13 17:05
Betsson🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-13 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 18:20
888sport🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 17:40
PlayUp🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 17:50
Neds🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 18:19
Coolbet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-13 18:09
FanDuel🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.61%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -7.01%E -3.01%K -5.27%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -7.01%E -3.01%K -5.27%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 17:25
Casumo🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 17:25
Bally Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 17:25
Unibet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 17:35
TABtouch🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-13 17:35
Betway🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-13 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 18:20
Paddy Power🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-13 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-13 18:09
betano_uk🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-13 18:10
NordicBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -8.61%E -3.76%K -6.67%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-13 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 18:20
betPARX🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 17:25
SportsBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-13 18:20
Bet Victor🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-13 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-13 18:20
Grosvenor🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-13 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-13 18:20
BetRivers🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.94%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-13 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-09-13 18:20

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%	2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%	-0.2%	2026-09-13 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	0.4%	2026-09-13 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%	2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%	0.7%	2026-09-13 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%	2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%	0.7%	2026-09-13 18:20
Kalshi◎	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%	1.0%	2026-09-13 16:50
Polymarket◎	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%	1.0%	2026-09-13 17:01
Matchbook◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%	1.8%	2026-09-13 18:20
Smarkets◎	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%	2.5%	2026-09-13 18:15
ProphetX◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%	3.7%	2026-09-13 18:20
Novig◎	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%	9.3%	2026-09-13 18:20

Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

胜负盘

Chicago Cubs (主队)

Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)