Szkoła Kursówodds.school
Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)
+ Nowy modelWszystkie modele

Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

Początek: 2026-09-13 18:21 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Chicago Cubs 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 60.09%1.66kurs godziwy
EV -0.851%
Przewaga -0.516%
Kelly -1.31%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.44%60.01%59.93%61.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.83%62.50%60.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Goście)

Prognoza 39.91%2.51kurs godziwy
EV +0.971%
Przewaga +0.384%
Kelly +0.635%
Wzrost +0.006%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.53

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.44%39.99%40.07%41.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.362.352.5345.45%42.33%42.55%39.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze): 60.09%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Goście): 39.91%. Dla wyniku Pittsburgh Pirates (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.51. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.53, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.971%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV +0.971%E +0.384%K +0.635%G +0.006%2.8%2026-09-13 18:15
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +0.572%E +0.227%K +0.376%G +0.002%2.2%2026-09-13 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.173%E +0.069%K +0.114%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.173%E +0.069%K +0.114%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 18:15
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.226%E -0.090%K -0.151%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 18:15
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.02%E -0.413%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:20
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 18:19
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 18:20
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:14
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.851%E -0.516%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.82%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 16:25
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 17:01
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 17:20
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 18:00
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 18:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 17:05
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 18:20
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 18:19
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.61%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -7.01%E -3.01%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -7.01%E -3.01%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:25
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:25
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 17:35
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -8.61%E -3.76%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:20
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 18:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%-0.2%2026-09-13 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-09-13 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-09-13 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-09-13 18:20
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-13 16:50
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-13 17:01
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-09-13 18:20
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-09-13 18:15
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%3.7%2026-09-13 18:20
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%9.3%2026-09-13 18:20