Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-09-13 18:21 UTC — MLB

Zwycięzca spotkania

59 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.83%1.76kurs godziwy
EV -1.69%
Przewaga -0.978%
Kelly -2.32%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.73

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.97%56.83%56.85%57.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.56%59.52%57.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Goście)

Prognoza 43.17%2.32kurs godziwy
EV -0.698%
Przewaga -0.303%
Kelly -0.537%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.60%43.17%43.15%45.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.202.202.3047.62%45.38%45.45%43.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze): 56.83%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Goście): 43.17%. Dla wyniku Pittsburgh Pirates (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.32. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferuje kursu powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 2.30, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.698%; nie daje dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.69%E -0.978%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.42%E -1.07%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 19:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.33%E -4.44%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 02:30
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.698%E -0.303%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.56%E -0.685%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.99%E -0.878%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.99%E -0.878%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 18:40
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.42%E -1.07%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-12 21:15
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 18:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.40%E -2.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 22:57
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.40%E -2.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.17%E -3.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.40%E -2.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.17%E -3.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.86%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 18:40
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.29%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 01:50
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.15%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:35
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.15%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:18
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.58%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 19:15
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:44
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.45%E -2.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 19:09
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.88%E -2.70%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:39
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.88%E -2.70%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:40
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.86%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:19
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.86%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 21:50
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.86%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.86%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.72%E -1.67%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.15%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 20:20
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:19
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:20
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:17
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:44
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 00:25
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 01:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.17%E -3.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 02:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.67%E -3.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.67%E -3.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.45%E -2.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.67%E -3.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.88%E -2.70%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.67%E -3.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.31%E -2.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 02:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.67%E -3.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.31%E -2.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 02:40
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.24%E -3.78%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.38%E -4.52%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.17%E -3.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 00:24
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.94%E -4.90%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -8.47%E -3.99%K -7.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.94%E -4.90%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.33%E -4.44%K -8.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 20:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%0.1%2026-09-13 02:40
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-09-13 02:45
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-12 23:50
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%2.9%2026-09-13 01:45
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%3.4%2026-09-12 22:35
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%10.2%2026-09-12 23:50