Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-09-13 18:21 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 56.83%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.978%
Kelly -2.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%56.83%56.85%57.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.56%59.52%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.17%2.32cote équitable
EV -0.698%
Avantage -0.303%
Kelly -0.537%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.60%43.17%43.15%45.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.202.202.3047.62%45.38%45.45%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 56.83% ; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur) : 43.17%. Pour Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.32. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.30, pour une espérance de -0.698% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.69%E -0.978%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.42%E -1.07%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 19:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.33%E -4.44%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 02:30
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.698%E -0.303%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.56%E -0.685%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.99%E -0.878%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.99%E -0.878%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 18:40
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.42%E -1.07%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-12 21:15
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 18:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.40%E -2.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 22:57
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.40%E -2.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.17%E -3.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.40%E -2.00%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.17%E -3.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.86%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 18:40
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.29%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 01:50
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.15%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:35
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.15%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:18
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.58%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 19:15
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:44
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 02:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.45%E -2.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 19:09
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.88%E -2.70%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:39
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.53%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.88%E -2.70%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:40
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.86%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:19
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.86%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 21:50
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.86%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.86%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.72%E -1.67%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.15%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 20:20
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:19
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:20
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:17
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:44
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 00:25
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 01:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.17%E -3.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 02:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.67%E -3.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.67%E -3.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.45%E -2.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.67%E -3.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.88%E -2.70%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.67%E -3.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.31%E -2.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 02:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.67%E -3.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.31%E -2.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 02:40
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.24%E -3.78%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.38%E -4.52%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.17%E -3.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 00:24
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.94%E -4.90%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -8.47%E -3.99%K -7.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.94%E -4.90%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.33%E -4.44%K -8.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%0.1%2026-09-13 02:40
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-09-13 02:45
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-12 23:50
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%2.9%2026-09-13 01:45
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%3.4%2026-09-12 22:35
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%10.2%2026-09-12 23:50