L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 18:21 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 60.09%1.66cote équitable
EV -0.851%
Avantage -0.516%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%60.01%59.93%61.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.83%62.50%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.91%2.51cote équitable
EV +0.971%
Avantage +0.384%
Kelly +0.635%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.44%39.99%40.07%41.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.352.5345.45%42.33%42.55%39.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 60.09% ; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur) : 39.91%. Pour Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.51. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.53, soit une espérance positive de +0.971%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV +0.971%E +0.384%K +0.635%G +0.006%2.8%2026-09-13 18:15
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +0.572%E +0.227%K +0.376%G +0.002%2.2%2026-09-13 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.173%E +0.069%K +0.114%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +0.173%E +0.069%K +0.114%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 18:15
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.226%E -0.090%K -0.151%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 18:15
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.02%E -0.413%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:20
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 18:19
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.22%E -0.907%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 18:20
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:14
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.851%E -0.516%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.82%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 16:25
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 17:01
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 17:20
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 18:00
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 18:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.02%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 17:05
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 18:20
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 18:19
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.61%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -7.01%E -3.01%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -7.01%E -3.01%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:25
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:25
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 17:35
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -8.61%E -3.76%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:20
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%-0.2%2026-09-13 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-09-13 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-09-13 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-09-13 18:20
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-13 16:50
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-13 17:01
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-09-13 18:20
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-09-13 18:15
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%3.7%2026-09-13 18:20
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%9.3%2026-09-13 18:20