默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 18:21 UTC

最终结果: Chicago Cubs 17–5 Cincinnati Reds

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs (主队)

预测 65.79%1.52公平赔率
EV -0.005%
优势 -0.003%
Kelly -0.009%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.52

博彩公司预测分布
63.12%65.74%65.88%69.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.341.451.451.5274.63%69.12%68.97%65.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cincinnati Reds (客队)

预测 34.21%2.92公平赔率
EV +8.46%
优势 +2.67%
Kelly +3.90%
增长率 +0.330%

假设最高赔率为 3.17

博彩公司预测分布
30.18%34.26%34.12%36.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.762.783.1740.00%36.25%35.97%31.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chicago Cubs (主队):65.79%;Cincinnati Reds (客队):34.21%。 对于“Cincinnati Reds (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.92。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.17,对应+8.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52%EV -8.56%E -6.16%K -21.94%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV +8.46%E +2.67%K +3.90%G +0.330%3.5%2026-08-29 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -11.85%E -8.84%K -34.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +6.06%E +1.96%K +2.89%G +0.175%6.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +4.35%E +1.43%K +2.12%G +0.092%4.2%2026-08-29 18:14
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.79%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.21%EV +3.67%E +1.21%K +1.81%G +0.066%2.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035%6.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035%6.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV +0.246%E +0.084%K +0.127%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-29 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-29 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -11.19%E -8.29%K -31.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:20
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.388%K -0.594%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 16:30
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 18:19
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 18:14
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.93%E -4.14%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:20
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.663%E -0.439%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-29 17:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 18:19
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-29 17:23
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:25
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:19
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 17:20
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:19
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:20
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 17:14
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -0.005%E -0.003%K -0.009%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 15:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 15:55
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:30
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.36%E -3.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:19
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:19
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%0.6%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-08-29 18:15
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-29 17:35
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.1%2026-08-29 18:15
ProphetX◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%3.2%2026-08-29 18:20
BetOpenly◎1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%3.9%2026-08-29 18:14