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Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Chicago Cubs (Хозяева)
Прогноз 65.79%1.52справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.005%
Преимущество -0.003%
Kelly -0.009%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.52
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
63.12%65.74%65.88%69.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.341.451.451.5274.63%69.12%68.97%65.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cincinnati Reds (Гости)
Прогноз 34.21%2.92справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.46%
Преимущество +2.67%
Kelly +3.90%
Рост +0.330%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.17
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.18%34.26%34.12%36.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.502.762.783.1740.00%36.25%35.97%31.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Chicago Cubs (Хозяева): 65.79%; Cincinnati Reds (Гости): 34.21%. Для исхода «Cincinnati Reds (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.92. 7 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.17, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +8.46%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52%EV -8.56%E -6.16%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV +8.46%E +2.67%K +3.90%G +0.330% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -11.85%E -8.84%K -34.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +6.06%E +1.96%K +2.89%G +0.175% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +4.35%E +1.43%K +2.12%G +0.092% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.79%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.21%EV +3.67%E +1.21%K +1.81%G +0.066% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV +0.246%E +0.084%K +0.127%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-29 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -11.19%E -8.29%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.388%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-29 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.93%E -4.14%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.663%E -0.439%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-29 17:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 17:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 17:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -0.005%E -0.003%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.36%E -3.95%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |