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Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 65.79%1.52momio equitativo
EV -0.005%
Ventaja -0.003%
Kelly -0.009%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.12%65.74%65.88%69.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.451.451.5274.63%69.12%68.97%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)
Predicción 34.21%2.92momio equitativo
EV +8.46%
Ventaja +2.67%
Kelly +3.90%
Crecimiento +0.330%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.18%34.26%34.12%36.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.762.783.1740.00%36.25%35.97%31.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Cubs (Local): 65.79%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 34.21%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.92. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.17, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.46%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52%EV -8.56%E -6.16%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV +8.46%E +2.67%K +3.90%G +0.330% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -11.85%E -8.84%K -34.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +6.06%E +1.96%K +2.89%G +0.175% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +4.35%E +1.43%K +2.12%G +0.092% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.79%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.21%EV +3.67%E +1.21%K +1.81%G +0.066% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV +0.246%E +0.084%K +0.127%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-29 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -11.19%E -8.29%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.388%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-29 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.93%E -4.14%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.663%E -0.439%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-29 17:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 17:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 17:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -0.005%E -0.003%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.36%E -3.95%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |