النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

البداية: 2026-08-29 18:21 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago Cubs 17–5 Cincinnati Reds

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 65.79%1.52السعر العادل
EV -0.005%
الأفضلية -0.003%
Kelly -0.009%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.12%65.74%65.88%69.82%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.341.451.451.5274.63%69.12%68.97%65.79%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Cincinnati Reds (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.21%2.92السعر العادل
EV +8.46%
الأفضلية +2.67%
Kelly +3.90%
النمو +0.330%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.18%34.26%34.12%36.88%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.762.783.1740.00%36.25%35.97%31.55%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Chicago Cubs (المضيف)⁩: ⁨65.79%⁩؛ ⁨Cincinnati Reds (الضيف)⁩: ⁨34.21%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Cincinnati Reds (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.92⁩. عرضت 7 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨3.17⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+8.46%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52%EV -8.56%E -6.16%K -21.94%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV +8.46%E +2.67%K +3.90%G +0.330%3.5%2026-08-29 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -11.85%E -8.84%K -34.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +6.06%E +1.96%K +2.89%G +0.175%6.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +4.35%E +1.43%K +2.12%G +0.092%4.2%2026-08-29 18:14
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.79%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.21%EV +3.67%E +1.21%K +1.81%G +0.066%2.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035%6.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035%6.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV +0.246%E +0.084%K +0.127%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-29 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-29 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -11.19%E -8.29%K -31.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:20
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.388%K -0.594%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 16:30
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 18:19
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 18:14
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.93%E -4.14%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:20
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.663%E -0.439%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-29 17:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 18:19
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-29 17:23
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:25
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:19
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 17:20
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:19
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:20
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 17:14
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -0.005%E -0.003%K -0.009%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 15:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 15:55
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:30
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.36%E -3.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:19
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:19
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%0.6%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-08-29 18:15
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-29 17:35
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.1%2026-08-29 18:15
ProphetX◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%3.2%2026-08-29 18:20
BetOpenly◎1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%3.9%2026-08-29 18:14