Langue:Français
Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prévision 65.79%1.52cote équitable
EV -0.005%
Avantage -0.003%
Kelly -0.009%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.12%65.74%65.88%69.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.341.451.451.5274.63%69.12%68.97%65.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.21%2.92cote équitable
EV +8.46%
Avantage +2.67%
Kelly +3.90%
Croissance +0.330%
avec la cote maximale 3.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.18%34.26%34.12%36.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.762.783.1740.00%36.25%35.97%31.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 65.79% ; Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur) : 34.21%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.92. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.17, soit une espérance positive de +8.46%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52%EV -8.56%E -6.16%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV +8.46%E +2.67%K +3.90%G +0.330% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -11.85%E -8.84%K -34.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +6.06%E +1.96%K +2.89%G +0.175% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +4.35%E +1.43%K +2.12%G +0.092% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.79%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.21%EV +3.67%E +1.21%K +1.81%G +0.066% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV +0.246%E +0.084%K +0.127%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-29 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -11.19%E -8.29%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.388%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-29 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.93%E -4.14%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.663%E -0.439%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-29 17:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 17:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 17:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -0.005%E -0.003%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.36%E -3.95%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |