Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

Początek: 2026-08-29 18:21 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Chicago Cubs 17–5 Cincinnati Reds

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 65.79%1.52kurs godziwy
EV -0.005%
Przewaga -0.003%
Kelly -0.009%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.52

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.12%65.74%65.88%69.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.341.451.451.5274.63%69.12%68.97%65.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Cincinnati Reds (Goście)

Prognoza 34.21%2.92kurs godziwy
EV +8.46%
Przewaga +2.67%
Kelly +3.90%
Wzrost +0.330%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.17

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.18%34.26%34.12%36.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.762.783.1740.00%36.25%35.97%31.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze): 65.79%; Cincinnati Reds (Goście): 34.21%. Dla wyniku Cincinnati Reds (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.92. 7 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.17, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +8.46%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52%EV -8.56%E -6.16%K -21.94%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV +8.46%E +2.67%K +3.90%G +0.330%3.5%2026-08-29 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -11.85%E -8.84%K -34.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +6.06%E +1.96%K +2.89%G +0.175%6.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +4.35%E +1.43%K +2.12%G +0.092%4.2%2026-08-29 18:14
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.79%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.21%EV +3.67%E +1.21%K +1.81%G +0.066%2.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035%6.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035%6.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV +0.246%E +0.084%K +0.127%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-29 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-29 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -11.19%E -8.29%K -31.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:20
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.388%K -0.594%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 16:30
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 18:19
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 18:14
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.93%E -4.14%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:20
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.663%E -0.439%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-29 17:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 18:19
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-29 17:23
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:25
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:19
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 17:20
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:19
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:20
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 17:14
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -0.005%E -0.003%K -0.009%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 15:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 15:55
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:30
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.36%E -3.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:19
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:19
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%0.6%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-08-29 18:15
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-29 17:35
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.1%2026-08-29 18:15
ProphetX◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%3.2%2026-08-29 18:20
BetOpenly◎1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%3.9%2026-08-29 18:14