StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-29 18:21 UTC

Endstand: Chicago Cubs 17–5 Cincinnati Reds

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 65.79%1.52faire Quote
EV -0.005%
Vorteil -0.003%
Kelly -0.009%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.52

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
63.12%65.74%65.88%69.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.341.451.451.5274.63%69.12%68.97%65.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Auswärts)

Prognose 34.21%2.92faire Quote
EV +8.46%
Vorteil +2.67%
Kelly +3.90%
Wachstum +0.330%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.18%34.26%34.12%36.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.502.762.783.1740.00%36.25%35.97%31.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Chicago Cubs (Heim): 65.79%; Cincinnati Reds (Auswärts): 34.21%. Für Cincinnati Reds (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.92. 7 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.17 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.46%.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52%EV -8.56%E -6.16%K -21.94%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV +8.46%E +2.67%K +3.90%G +0.330%3.5%2026-08-29 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -11.85%E -8.84%K -34.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +6.06%E +1.96%K +2.89%G +0.175%6.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +4.35%E +1.43%K +2.12%G +0.092%4.2%2026-08-29 18:14
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.79%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.21%EV +3.67%E +1.21%K +1.81%G +0.066%2.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035%6.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.64%E +0.880%K +1.32%G +0.035%6.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV +0.246%E +0.084%K +0.127%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-29 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.096%E -0.033%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-29 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -11.19%E -8.29%K -31.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -0.781%E -0.269%K -0.411%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:20
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.12%E -0.388%K -0.594%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.46%E -0.509%K -0.779%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 16:30
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.15%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 18:19
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 18:14
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.93%E -4.14%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.58%E -4.64%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.49%E -0.874%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:20
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.663%E -0.439%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-29 17:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.86%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 18:19
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-29 17:23
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:25
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:19
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 17:20
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.20%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:19
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:20
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 17:14
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.90%E -5.64%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.91%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.21%E -6.68%K -24.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -0.005%E -0.003%K -0.009%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 15:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 15:55
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:30
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.36%E -3.95%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.64%E -1.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.29%E -2.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.95%E -2.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -12.76%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:19
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:19
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.27%E -3.66%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%0.6%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-08-29 18:15
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-29 17:35
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.1%2026-08-29 18:15
ProphetX◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%3.2%2026-08-29 18:20
BetOpenly◎1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%3.9%2026-08-29 18:14