Language:English
Chicago Cubs v Atlanta Braves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 59.51%1.68fair odd
EV -0.623%
Edge -0.373%
Kelly -0.930%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.46%59.46%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.601.6765.79%62.66%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Braves (Visit)
Prediction 40.49%2.47fair odd
EV -0.388%
Edge -0.158%
Kelly -0.265%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.54%40.54%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.332.4645.45%42.92%42.92%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 59.51%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 40.49%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.46, with an expected value of -0.388%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -0.623%E -0.373%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.623%E -0.373%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.41%E -1.47%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.41%E -1.47%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -0.793%E -0.323%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-16 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.60%E -0.659%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-16 23:21 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.388%E -0.158%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-16 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.388%E -0.158%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-16 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.388%E -0.158%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-16 22:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 23:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -9.70%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -0.388%E -0.158%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-16 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-16 17:03 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.25%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.65%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 23:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 23:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.38%E -3.39%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -9.70%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -9.70%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.55%E -6.28%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-16 23:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-09-16 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 14:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 15:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41% | 3.2% | 2026-09-16 23:40 |