Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs v Atlanta Braves

2026-09-16 23:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 56.27%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.875%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.56%56.30%56.27%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.691.681.7562.50%59.19%59.52%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.73%2.29cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.712%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%43.70%43.73%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.182.202.2550.00%45.84%45.45%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 56.27% ; Atlanta Braves (Visiteur) : 43.73%. Pour Chicago Cubs (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.78. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.75, pour une espérance de -1.53% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.53%E -0.875%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-16 02:20
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 19:40
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-16 01:00
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 02:30
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 21:45
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 23:45
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 20:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:45
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 20:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 00:25
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 02:05
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 19:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.35%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:35
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:21
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 02:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 19:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 23:44
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 19:43
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 01:38
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 01:20
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 23:45
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.28%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.97%E -6.23%K -16.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.53%E -6.27%K -12.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 23:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-15 21:05
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-16 01:45
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-16 02:30
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-09-16 02:30
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%9.1%2026-09-16 00:35