Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chicago Cubs v Atlanta Braves

2026-09-16 23:41 UTC — MLB

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.27%1.78kurs godziwy
EV -1.53%
Przewaga -0.875%
Kelly -2.04%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.56%56.30%56.27%57.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.601.691.681.7562.50%59.19%59.52%57.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Atlanta Braves (Goście)

Prognoza 43.73%2.29kurs godziwy
EV -1.60%
Przewaga -0.712%
Kelly -1.28%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.86%43.70%43.73%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.182.202.2550.00%45.84%45.45%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze): 56.27%; Atlanta Braves (Goście): 43.73%. Dla wyniku Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.78. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferuje kursu powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 1.75, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.53%; nie daje dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.53%E -0.875%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-16 02:20
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 19:40
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-16 01:00
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 02:30
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 21:45
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 23:45
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 20:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:45
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 20:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 00:25
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 02:05
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 19:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.35%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:35
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:21
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 02:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 19:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 23:44
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 19:43
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 01:38
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 01:20
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 23:45
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.28%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.97%E -6.23%K -16.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.53%E -6.27%K -12.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 23:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-15 21:05
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-16 01:45
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-16 02:30
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-09-16 02:30
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%9.1%2026-09-16 00:35