StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs v Atlanta Braves

2026-09-16 23:41 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 56.27%1.78faire Quote
EV -1.53%
Vorteil -0.875%
Kelly -2.04%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.56%56.30%56.27%57.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.601.691.681.7562.50%59.19%59.52%57.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.73%2.29faire Quote
EV -1.60%
Vorteil -0.712%
Kelly -1.28%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.86%43.70%43.73%44.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.182.202.2550.00%45.84%45.45%44.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Chicago Cubs (Heim): 56.27%; Atlanta Braves (Auswärts): 43.73%. Für Chicago Cubs (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.78. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.75, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.53%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.53%E -0.875%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-16 02:20
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 19:40
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-16 01:00
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 02:30
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 21:45
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 23:45
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 20:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:45
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 20:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 00:25
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 02:05
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 19:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.35%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 01:35
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:21
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 02:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 19:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 23:44
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 19:43
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 01:38
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 01:20
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 23:45
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.28%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.97%E -6.23%K -16.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.53%E -6.27%K -12.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 23:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-15 21:05
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-16 01:45
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-16 02:30
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-09-16 02:30
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%9.1%2026-09-16 00:35