默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs v Atlanta Braves

2026-09-16 23:41 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs (主队)

预测 56.24%1.78公平赔率
EV -1.58%
优势 -0.900%
Kelly -2.10%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
55.56%56.29%56.27%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.691.681.7562.50%59.19%59.52%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlanta Braves (客队)

预测 43.76%2.29公平赔率
EV -1.55%
优势 -0.687%
Kelly -1.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
42.86%43.71%43.73%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.182.202.2550.00%45.85%45.45%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Chicago Cubs (主队):56.24%;Atlanta Braves (客队):43.76%。 对于“Atlanta Braves (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.29。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.25,期望值为-1.55%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.58%E -0.900%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.86%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-16 02:20
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.14%E -1.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.55%E -0.687%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.14%E -1.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.86%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.14%E -1.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.86%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 19:40
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.14%E -1.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.86%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-16 01:00
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.14%E -1.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 02:30
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.26%E -1.90%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.26%E -1.90%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 21:45
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 23:45
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.61%E -2.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 20:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 01:45
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 20:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.61%E -2.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.61%E -2.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.61%E -2.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 00:25
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 02:05
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.86%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 19:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.30%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.61%E -2.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 02:45
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:21
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 01:20
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 02:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.48%E -2.54%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 19:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 19:45
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 23:44
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 19:43
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 01:38
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.61%E -2.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.05%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.05%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 01:20
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.20%E -4.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 23:45
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.32%E -5.11%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -7.23%E -3.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.01%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.48%E -6.24%K -12.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 23:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%-0.1%2026-09-16 02:45
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-15 21:05
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-16 02:30
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-09-16 02:30
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%9.1%2026-09-16 00:35