Language:English
Chicago Cubs v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 59.97%1.67fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%59.94%59.97%61.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.581.591.6466.23%63.11%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 40.03%2.50fair odd
EV -0.724%
Edge -0.292%
Kelly -0.489%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.93%40.06%40.03%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.382.4845.45%42.03%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 59.97%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 40.03%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -0.724%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.65%E -1.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 17:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.25%E -1.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 18:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.92%E -0.786%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 18:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.13%E -2.16%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 18:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 18:18 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 21:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.724%E -0.292%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-02 18:18 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.12%E -0.455%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-02 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.12%E -0.455%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.92%E -0.786%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-02 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-02 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 15:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -8.33%E -3.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 18:18 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 18:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 04:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.45%E -6.26%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.48% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.52% | -0.4% | 2026-05-02 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.39% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |