默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs v Arizona Diamondbacks

开赛时间: 2026-05-02 18:21 UTC

最终结果: Chicago Cubs 2–0 Arizona Diamondbacks

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs (主队)

预测 59.97%1.67公平赔率
EV -1.65%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -2.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.64

博彩公司预测分布
58.67%59.94%59.97%61.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.581.591.6466.23%63.11%62.89%60.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)

预测 40.03%2.50公平赔率
EV -0.724%
优势 -0.292%
Kelly -0.489%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.48

博彩公司预测分布
38.93%40.06%40.03%41.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.382.382.4845.45%42.03%42.02%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chicago Cubs (主队):59.97%;Arizona Diamondbacks (客队):40.03%。 对于“Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.50。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.48,期望值为-0.724%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.65%E -1.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 17:44
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.25%E -1.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 18:19
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.92%E -0.786%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 18:19
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 18:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.13%E -2.16%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 18:18
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 18:15
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 18:18
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 21:24
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.724%E -0.292%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 18:18
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.12%E -0.455%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.12%E -0.455%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 18:20
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.92%E -0.786%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 16:40
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:20
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:45
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:50
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:05
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 18:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -8.33%E -3.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 18:20
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 18:18
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 18:19
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 04:30
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.45%E -6.26%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 18:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.48%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.52%-0.4%2026-05-02 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:20
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-02 18:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-02 18:20
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.39%1.1%2026-05-02 18:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-02 18:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-02 16:20
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%12.6%2026-05-02 18:20