L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 18:21 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 2–0 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 59.97%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -2.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%59.94%59.97%61.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.581.591.6466.23%63.11%62.89%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.03%2.50cote équitable
EV -0.724%
Avantage -0.292%
Kelly -0.489%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.93%40.06%40.03%41.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.382.382.4845.45%42.03%42.02%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.65%E -1.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 17:44
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.25%E -1.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 18:19
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.92%E -0.786%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 18:19
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 18:15
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.13%E -2.16%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 18:18
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 18:15
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 18:18
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 21:24
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.724%E -0.292%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 18:18
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.12%E -0.455%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 18:19
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.12%E -0.455%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 18:20
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.92%E -0.786%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 18:20
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 16:40
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 15:55
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 14:25
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:55
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:45
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:05
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:19
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 15:54
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:40
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:55
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -8.33%E -3.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 18:20
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 18:18
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:20
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 18:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 17:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 18:19
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:20
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:19
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 15:54
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 04:30
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.45%E -6.26%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.48%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.52%-0.4%2026-05-02 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:20
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-02 18:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-02 18:20
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.39%1.1%2026-05-02 18:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-02 18:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-02 16:20
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%12.6%2026-05-02 18:20