Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chicago Cubs v Arizona Diamondbacks

Początek: 2026-05-02 18:21 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Chicago Cubs 2–0 Arizona Diamondbacks

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 59.97%1.67kurs godziwy
EV -1.65%
Przewaga -1.01%
Kelly -2.58%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.64

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.67%59.94%59.97%61.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.511.581.591.6466.23%63.11%62.89%60.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Goście)

Prognoza 40.03%2.50kurs godziwy
EV -0.724%
Przewaga -0.292%
Kelly -0.489%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.48

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.93%40.06%40.03%41.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.382.382.4845.45%42.03%42.02%40.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Chicago Cubs (Gospodarze): 59.97%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Goście): 40.03%. Dla wyniku Arizona Diamondbacks (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.50. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.48, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.724%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.65%E -1.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 17:44
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.25%E -1.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 18:19
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.92%E -0.786%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 18:19
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 18:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.13%E -2.16%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 18:18
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 18:15
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 18:18
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 21:24
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.724%E -0.292%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 18:18
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.12%E -0.455%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.12%E -0.455%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 18:20
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.92%E -0.786%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 16:40
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:20
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:45
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:50
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:05
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 18:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -8.33%E -3.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 18:20
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 18:18
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 18:19
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 04:30
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.45%E -6.26%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 18:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.48%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.52%-0.4%2026-05-02 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:20
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-02 18:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-02 18:20
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.39%1.1%2026-05-02 18:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-02 18:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-02 16:20
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%12.6%2026-05-02 18:20