La scuola delle quote

Chicago Cubs v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inizio: 2026-05-02 18:21 UTC

Finale: Chicago Cubs 2–0 Arizona Diamondbacks

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 59.97%1.67quota equa
EV -1.65%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -2.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.67%59.94%59.97%61.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.511.581.591.6466.23%63.11%62.89%60.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.03%2.50quota equa
EV -0.724%
Vantaggio -0.292%
Kelly -0.489%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.93%40.06%40.03%41.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.382.382.4845.45%42.03%42.02%40.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.65%E -1.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 17:44
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.25%E -1.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 18:19
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.92%E -0.786%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 18:19
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 18:15
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.13%E -2.16%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 18:18
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 18:15
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 18:18
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 21:24
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.724%E -0.292%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 18:18
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.12%E -0.455%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 18:19
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.12%E -0.455%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 18:20
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.92%E -0.786%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 18:20
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 16:40
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 15:55
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 14:25
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:55
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:45
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:05
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:19
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 15:54
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:40
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:55
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -8.33%E -3.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 18:20
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 18:18
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:20
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 18:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 17:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 18:19
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:20
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:19
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 15:54
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 04:30
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.45%E -6.26%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 18:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.48%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.52%-0.4%2026-05-02 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:20
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-02 18:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-02 18:20
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.39%1.1%2026-05-02 18:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-02 18:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-02 16:20
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%12.6%2026-05-02 18:20