مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Arizona Diamondbacks

البداية: 2026-05-02 18:21 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago Cubs 2–0 Arizona Diamondbacks

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.97%1.67السعر العادل
EV -1.65%
الأفضلية -1.01%
Kelly -2.58%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.67%59.94%59.97%61.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.511.581.591.6466.23%63.11%62.89%60.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.03%2.50السعر العادل
EV -0.724%
الأفضلية -0.292%
Kelly -0.489%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.93%40.06%40.03%41.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.382.382.4845.45%42.03%42.02%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.65%E -1.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 17:44
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.25%E -1.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 18:19
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.92%E -0.786%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 18:19
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 18:15
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.13%E -2.16%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 18:18
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 18:15
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 18:18
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 21:24
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.724%E -0.292%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 18:18
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.12%E -0.455%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 18:19
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.12%E -0.455%K -0.765%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 18:20
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.92%E -0.786%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 18:20
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 16:40
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 15:55
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 18:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 14:25
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 15:55
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:45
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:05
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:19
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 18:15
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 15:54
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:40
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:55
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -8.33%E -3.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 18:20
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 18:18
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:20
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 18:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 17:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 18:19
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:20
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:19
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.85%E -3.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 15:54
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.73%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:20
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.45%E -4.13%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 04:30
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.45%E -6.26%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 18:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.48%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.52%-0.4%2026-05-02 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-02 18:20
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-02 18:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-02 18:20
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.39%1.1%2026-05-02 18:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-02 18:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-02 16:20
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%12.6%2026-05-02 18:20