The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-08-04 22:36 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 57.89%1.73fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.587%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%58.02%57.92%59.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.651.7164.52%60.84%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 42.11%2.37fair odd
EV +0.215%
Edge +0.090%
Kelly +0.156%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.50%41.98%42.08%43.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.292.292.3846.08%43.75%43.57%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 57.89%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 42.11%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.215%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-04 20:45
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:54
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 12:19
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 21:54
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:04
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:04
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%EV -1.47%E -0.628%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 22:30
Caesars1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%EV -1.89%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:04
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.89%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:04
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 21:19
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 22:25
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:44
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.00%E -0.587%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 21:20
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:04
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:04
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:13
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:25
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:35
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:04
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:04
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:29
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:29
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:45
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 11:59
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:09
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:29
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:45
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:44
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:44
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:00
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:29
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:43
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:29
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:35
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.27%E -6.62%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 22:04
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.68%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:15
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:59
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:14
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:30
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.63%E -3.98%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-08-04 22:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:30
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 20:55
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-08-04 22:35