النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels

البداية: 2026-08-04 22:36 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Baltimore Orioles (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.89%1.73السعر العادل
EV -1.00%
الأفضلية -0.587%
Kelly -1.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.41%58.02%57.92%59.50%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.641.651.7164.52%60.84%60.61%58.48%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Los Angeles Angels (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.11%2.37السعر العادل
EV +0.215%
الأفضلية +0.090%
Kelly +0.156%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.50%41.98%42.08%43.59%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.172.292.292.3846.08%43.75%43.57%42.02%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Baltimore Orioles (المضيف)⁩: ⁨57.89%⁩؛ ⁨Los Angeles Angels (الضيف)⁩: ⁨42.11%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Los Angeles Angels (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.37⁩. عرضت 4 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.38⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+0.215%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-04 20:45
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:54
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 12:19
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 21:54
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:04
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:04
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%EV -1.47%E -0.628%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 22:30
Caesars1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%EV -1.89%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:04
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.89%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:04
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 21:19
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 22:25
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:44
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.00%E -0.587%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 21:20
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:04
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:04
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:13
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:25
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:35
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:04
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:04
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:29
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:29
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:45
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 11:59
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:09
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:29
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:45
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:44
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:44
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:00
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:29
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:43
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:29
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:35
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.27%E -6.62%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 22:04
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.68%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:15
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:59
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:14
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:30
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.63%E -3.98%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-08-04 22:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:30
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 20:55
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-08-04 22:35