Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 22:36 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prévision 57.89%1.73cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.587%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.41%58.02%57.92%59.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.641.651.7164.52%60.84%60.61%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.11%2.37cote équitable
EV +0.215%
Avantage +0.090%
Kelly +0.156%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.50%41.98%42.08%43.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.172.292.292.3846.08%43.75%43.57%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Baltimore Orioles (Local) : 57.89% ; Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur) : 42.11%. Pour Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.37. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.38, soit une espérance positive de +0.215%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-04 20:45
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:54
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 12:19
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 21:54
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:04
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:04
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%EV -1.47%E -0.628%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 22:30
Caesars1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%EV -1.89%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:04
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.89%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:04
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 21:19
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 22:25
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:44
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.00%E -0.587%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 21:20
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:04
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:04
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:13
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:25
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:35
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:04
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:04
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:29
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:29
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:45
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 11:59
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:09
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:29
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:45
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:44
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:44
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:00
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:29
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:43
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:29
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:35
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.27%E -6.62%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 22:04
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.68%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:15
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:59
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:14
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:30
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.63%E -3.98%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-08-04 22:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:30
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 20:55
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-08-04 22:35