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Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Predicción 57.89%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.587%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.41%58.02%57.92%59.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.651.7164.52%60.84%60.61%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)
Predicción 42.11%2.37momio equitativo
EV +0.215%
Ventaja +0.090%
Kelly +0.156%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.50%41.98%42.08%43.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.172.292.292.3846.08%43.75%43.57%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 57.89%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 42.11%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.37. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.215%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 12:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%EV -1.47%E -0.628%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| Caesars | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%EV -1.89%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.89%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 21:19 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.00%E -0.587%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| GTbets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 21:13 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 08:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 11:59 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| ReBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:43 |
| betano_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.27%E -6.62%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.68%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.63%E -3.98%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79% | -0.1% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |