Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels

Início: 2026-08-04 22:36 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 57.89%1.73odd justa
EV -1.00%
Vantagem -0.587%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.41%58.02%57.92%59.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.641.651.7164.52%60.84%60.61%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Previsão 42.11%2.37odd justa
EV +0.215%
Vantagem +0.090%
Kelly +0.156%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.50%41.98%42.08%43.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.172.292.292.3846.08%43.75%43.57%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 57.89%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 42.11%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.37. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.38, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.215%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-04 20:45
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:54
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 12:19
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 21:54
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:04
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:04
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%EV -1.47%E -0.628%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 22:30
Caesars1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%EV -1.89%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:04
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.89%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:04
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 21:19
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 22:25
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:44
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.00%E -0.587%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 21:20
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:04
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:04
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:13
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:25
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:35
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:04
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:04
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:29
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:29
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:45
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 11:59
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:09
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:29
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:45
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:44
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:44
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:00
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:29
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:43
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:29
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:35
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.27%E -6.62%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 22:04
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.68%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:15
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:59
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:14
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:30
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.63%E -3.98%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-08-04 22:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:30
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 20:55
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-08-04 22:35