Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels

Początek: 2026-08-04 22:36 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Baltimore Orioles (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 57.89%1.73kurs godziwy
EV -1.00%
Przewaga -0.587%
Kelly -1.41%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.71

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.41%58.02%57.92%59.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.551.641.651.7164.52%60.84%60.61%58.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Los Angeles Angels (Goście)

Prognoza 42.11%2.37kurs godziwy
EV +0.215%
Przewaga +0.090%
Kelly +0.156%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.50%41.98%42.08%43.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.172.292.292.3846.08%43.75%43.57%42.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Baltimore Orioles (Gospodarze): 57.89%; Los Angeles Angels (Goście): 42.11%. Dla wyniku Los Angeles Angels (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.37. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.38, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.215%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-04 20:45
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:54
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.215%E +0.090%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 12:19
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 21:54
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:04
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:04
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.05%E -0.446%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:04
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%EV -1.47%E -0.628%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 22:30
Caesars1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%EV -1.89%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:04
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.89%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:04
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 21:19
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 22:25
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.73%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:44
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.00%E -0.587%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 21:20
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:04
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 21:04
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:13
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:25
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:35
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:04
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.53%E -5.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.15%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:04
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:29
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.57%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.16%E -1.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:29
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.00%E -1.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:45
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.42%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 11:59
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:09
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:29
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:34
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:45
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:44
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:44
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:00
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:29
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:43
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:29
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:35
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.27%E -6.62%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.26%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 22:04
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.48%E -2.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.68%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:15
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:59
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.90%E -2.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.52%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:14
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.58%E -0.931%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:30
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.74%E -1.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.32%E -1.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.06%E -3.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.36%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.63%E -3.98%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-08-04 22:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 22:35
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:30
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 20:55
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-08-04 22:35